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Topic: Science
Number of pages / Number of words: 21 / 5648
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analyzes the development of long-term contracts in liberalizing natural gas markets world-wide, with a

particular focus on the determinants of the duration of contracts under changing technical, economic,

and institutional conditions. Our hypothesis, derived from theoretical work and more recent empirical

analysis, is that the move from a monopoly industry to more competitive market structures implies that

long-term contracts loose some of their importance, and that they are likely to play a considerable role

(only) when large-scale, asset-specific investment decisions are at stake...


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Section 3 describes the structural changes ongoing in the natural gas industry,

both from a technical, an institutional, and an economic perspective. From there, we derive the main

hypotheses to be tested in Section 4 (“Data, Model Specification and Results”). Based on a unique

dataset of 317 long-term natural gas contracts, we test the impact of structural and institutional

variables on the duration of these contracts...


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