Buy custom Long Swings In The Exchange Rate And The Excess Returns Puzzle: The Ro
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If PPP were built from a micro-
foundation choice-based model (where demand-side ef-fects influence
saving/investment and interest rates), I suspect that we might see a real
conver-gence toward understanding the excess returns puzzle.
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Imperfect Knowledge
William Strauss
The paper is a clear breath of "dirty" air in the sterile world of perfect
foresight. The authors offer a well worked out model of how agents persistently
bid the exchange rate away from the expected long-run equilibrium rate. It
seems intuitively comfortable to see the mathematical justification for the
unexplained excess returns to be a function of the distance from the bench-mark
(PPP)...
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