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Topic: Business
Number of pages / Number of words: 6 / 1495
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They assume that the bubble is expected to partially collapse in state C, g(•) is a continuous and everywhere differentiable function it is shown that in state C the expected return on an asset will be a decreasing function of the bubble, and instate S the expected return on an asset will be an increasing function of the bubble...


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Authors use the percentage change in house price less the quarterly yield from holding 20-year government bonds. Excess returns tended to be highest during the booms of the late 1970s and late 1990s.

Then authors estimate four possible measures for the non-fundamental house price.

  • The first measure of the non-fundamental house price is based on a housing demand and supply model which they called Method A...

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