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25 / 6931 |
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There are problems associated with this test. For the short horizons, a research conducted by Conrad and Kaul and Lo and Mackinlay found that the correlation coefficient is quite small for the weekly return which suggested that there is no strong evidence of the existence of patterns in stock returns over short horizons ...
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However, for the long run, researchers do find that it tends to have a negative correlation coefficient .
The second test is based on the variables such as dividend/price ratio, earnings yield, and spread between yields on corporate bonds, and using these variables to predict market returns . If we can say that market returns are predicted by predicting risk- adjusted abnormal returns then probably the market is inefficient ...
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